![\"\"](\"https:\/\/democracyforpuertorico.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/B4D-HD16-Map-1-PNP_PPD-Gov-Margin.jpg\")
<\/figure>\n\n\n\nIn 2020, Charlie Delgado won this district by 6.6%, driven largely by his strength in his hometown of Isabela. His 12 point margin in Isabela was the 5th-largest margin of victory for a candidate in any of the 78 municipalities. He was particularly strong in the coastal area and city center north of the PR-2 highway (highlighted in orange), while in the mountains south of it the race was a bit closer. In San Sebasti\u00e1n, the town center was pretty evenly divided while the outlying areas combined to give Delgado his small 4 point margin. Finally, in Las Mar\u00edas, Pedro Pierluisi\u2019s margins in the town center were enough to give him a 4 point win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Despite the pro-statehood PNP losing HD-16 by 6.6%, that margin was reversed on the status plebiscite, with \u201cYes\u201d to statehood winning by 6.1%. Statehood saw particular strength in Las Mar\u00edas and central San Sebasti\u00e1n, while the strongest anti-statehood areas were coastal Isabela and the Isabela-San Sebasti\u00e1n border. Statehood outran the PNP\u2019s margins the most in Isabela, with a 17.7 point overperformance for statehood. In San Sebasti\u00e1n and Las Mar\u00edas, this overperformance was more modest at around 9%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The precinct loyalty map shows how Yes on statehood was able to outperform the PNP so greatly. In Isabela, 11 precincts out of 22, concentrated around PR-2, voted for statehood while voting for Charlie Delgado. San Sebasti\u00e1n also had plenty of crossover, with 9 out of its 20 precincts voting for statehood while voting for Delgado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Looking at the plebiscite results by income can give us a sense of how income is distributed across the district and how this correlates to support for statehood. The top quartile of wealth is concentrated in the coastal and downtown parts of Isabela, in an area that for the most part rejected statehood. Both the second quartile (largely based in outlying San Sebasti\u00e1n) and the third quartile (scattered across the district with a concentration in downtown San Sebasti\u00e1n) voted for statehood by a slim margin. However, the poorest quartile, concentrated in southern Isabela and Las Mar\u00edas, voted for statehood by a pretty wide margin, with only one of these precincts voting against it. San Sebasti\u00e1n shows less of a correlation between income and support for statehood than Isabela and Las Mar\u00edas, as precincts are split roughly half and half for and against statehood regardless of income level. On the other hand, the richest parts in northern Isabela and the poorer parts in Las Mar\u00edas and southern Isabela show a pretty compelling pattern of opposition to statehood being linked to higher incomes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Join us next time as we analyze House District 17 and start to see how these trends hold up across the territory, or not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Maps by Noel Arroyo Welcome to the Boricuas4Democracy blog! Our first project is a deep dive into precinct-level results of each Puerto Rico House of Representatives district for the 2020 Governor’s race and political status plebiscite. This is the first post in that series. Today we\u2019ll be taking a look at House District 16 (HD-16), comprising the municipios of …<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/democracyforpuertorico.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/B4D-HD16-Map-2-Plebiscite-Results.jpg\")
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Written Analysis by Francisco Proskauer Valerio<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"